Write Angles

May 24, 2006

Deal or No Deal: Lucky Case Game

Filed under: Deal or No Deal, Math Videos, Puzzles/Games — Damon @ 6:50 pm

Yesterday I was showing students how to improve their odds at the Lucky Case Game. Today I realized they can’t play because they’re not old enough. Oops. You have to be 18.

So today I put a notice on the board forbidding them to play. (And they always read and comply with the notices on the board!) So if you are 18 or older continue reading to find out how to “beat the house” on the Lucky Case Game.

First of all, you should never use your cell phone to enter. They charge 99 cents per text message. You can enter 10 times online for free at Deal or No Deal.

About halfway through the show they display a bar graph showing the numbers that the rest of America is choosing. (Which is somewhat presumptuous–assuming that all of America is watching and entering the contest.) The key to improving your odds is in this bar graph. There is usually a number that is being chosen less often. I recommend waiting until you see this bar graph and then entering 10 times and choose the number(s) the “rest of America” is not picking.

Two things have to happen to win the 10,000 dollar prize. One, they have to pick the same number you choose. The probability of that happening is 1 out of 6. Two, they have to randomly select you out of the millions of people that chose that number. If ten million people chose that number the probability of picking you is 1 out of ten million. When these two probabilities are multiplied the final probability is 1 out of 60 million. If you pick the number that only 1 million people choose your odds become 1 out of 6 million. That’s 10 times more likely!

Okay I won’t be retiring in order to spend more time playing the lucky case game.

Update: I now have a Squidoo lens dedicated to Deal or No Deal.

13 Comments »

  1. hahahaha how did I have no idea about this site? That was a fun game…

    Comment by Student name deleted — June 16, 2006 @ 1:18 pm

  2. What The $10.000 Lucky Case?

    Comment by Alex — November 23, 2006 @ 6:36 pm

  3. Cheat Time!!

    Comment by Alex — November 23, 2006 @ 6:37 pm

  4. (Get Cellfone)

    Comment by Alex — November 23, 2006 @ 6:39 pm

  5. (Press Keys)

    Comment by Alex — November 23, 2006 @ 6:40 pm

  6. ( Pick Case 6)

    Comment by Alex — November 23, 2006 @ 6:40 pm

  7. I Got 10.000 Dollers WOOHOO!!!!!!!!!!!!! PARTY TIME!!! WHO WON 10.000 ME! WOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Comment by Alex — November 23, 2006 @ 6:42 pm

  8. I wood love to win so can go no my.hunemoo with my wify I ame geting on May 20 2007 Edward

    Comment by Edward E,Raymond — April 2, 2007 @ 8:58 pm

  9. i enter all the time from compouter and it seem like they never pick nobody from nc it is always bypassed i have watched this game show since they have first started and have only gotten one email from them saying thanks for entering the lucky case game

    Comment by sindy — May 6, 2007 @ 6:25 pm

  10. I have always played but never win I think this is a joke Dennis Smith Paso Robles Ca

    Comment by dennis — May 14, 2007 @ 8:47 pm

  11. I am so glade the lucky case game is back.
    I cannot wait to win so I can buy my autistic child some private therapy.

    Comment by chi-chi — April 6, 2008 @ 2:11 pm

  12. I cant find the lucky case game link on that site..can anyone give me a clue?

    Comment by Angela Mathis — October 10, 2009 @ 5:04 pm

  13. Iwatch deal or no deal all the time and I’m trying to figure out to play lucky case game!! These r all old ones is there anyway someone can text me and let me know how to play! I would really appreciate it thanks a lot

    Comment by Krystal Wright — October 20, 2009 @ 4:17 pm


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